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Daily Slop - 24 Apr 24: Odds when drafting quarterbacks in the top-5 “are worse than a coin flip”

Finding a QB is frankly still a blind date. “Do we look stressed?” Washington General Manager Adam Peters asked. Jayden Daniels or Drake Maye? Michael Penix Jr. or J.J. McCarthy? It’s a quant’s quagmire. As sure of a shot as Caleb Williams of Southern California seems to be as the No. 1 pick for the Chicago Bears, data suggests that teams are wrong in identifying “franchise” quarterbacks roughly 75 percent of the time. Meanwhile, there could be a guy hiding somewhere further down. He may not have the hand size or some other measurable, but he has a low sack rate, he senses pressure, and he might be some organization’s dream date.